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Automotive Vendors: What Share of Subscriptions will be 3G/4G by region over the next 5 years?

by David Kerr | 5月 30, 2012

Strategy Analytics predicts global cellular subscriptions to exceed 7 billion by the end of 2013. Asia Pacific continues to be the largest single region, representing half of the world's cellular subscriptions. LTE will be the most important growth category and global 4G subscriptions will soar over the next five years.

GSM/WCDMA/TD-SCDMA will dominate the wireless ecosystem, with LTE in particular gaining good traction over the next five years.

Cellular subscriptions are outpacing unique users. How many unique users does 2012's 6.6 billion subscriptions represent?

A combination of inactive accounts, individuals using multiple SIM cards in one handset, and the emergence of more multi-device users will drive the subscription/user gap even higher.


More than one quarter of all subscriptions will be on 3G or 4G networks by the end of 2012, with 2G systems witnessing their last year of subscription growth before declines commence in 2013

2012 will see the emergence of LTE as a global 4G technology with total connections growing from 9 fold year on year. The US, Japan and South Korea are the current growth engines for LTE, but which regions and countries will drive the next wave?

Greater scale in the global handset market will help to put LTE on a more rapid adoption curve than seen by WCDMA.

This report forecasts cellular subscriptions by protocol in 6 global regions and 13 major automotive countries from 2007 to 2017. Major protocol forecasts for each major automotive market include

? CDMA (CDMAOne / 1x / EV-DO),



? 4G LTE (LTE)

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