Nationwide 5G competition among top US operators is set to ramp up in the second half of 2020, despite the negative impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Strategy Analytics forecasts that US 5G subscribers will capture about 8.5% of total subscriptions by year end 2020. We analyze carrier positioning as well as recent survey results on how consumers have changed their 5G upgrade intentions due to the pandemic, and offer recommendations for increasing 5G growth.
1. Introduction: 2020 Still the Year for Nationwide 5G Competition, Despite COVID-19 Impacts 2. Carrier Positioning: Ready-ing to Ramp 5G 2.1 Verizon 5G start with mmWave Nationwide coverage by end 2020 with DSS 5G service plans 5G Deployment plans Broader 5G strategy and revenue impact 2.2 AT&T 5G mmWave Low-band 5G for nationwide coverage 5G service plans for consumers 5G for business 2.3 T-Mobile 5G service plans 5G network deployment plans 3. But will Customers Buy? 5G Upgrade Cycle at Risk from COVID-19 Impacts 3.1 Survey Shows: COVID-19 pandemic has substantial potential downside risk for consumer plans to upgrade to 5G service 3.2 Strategy Analytics US 5G Outlook: COVID-19 Slows Growth in 2020-21 3.2.1 US 5G Forecasts: Subscriptions and Service Revenues 3.2.2 Assumptions 4. Implications and Recommendations 4.1 Recommendations: Address Key Questions, Know Your Customers, Innovate & Iterate 5. How Can We Help You?
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