DefenseDefense

Defense

Trends & Drivers in the Aerospace and Defense Industry



Report Summary:

This report addresses some of the main topics and developments in the aerospace and defense market. The defense market is growing in response to an increased global threat level and the aerospace sector is recovering as COVID restrictions loosen. Both segments
have a keen interest in AI, immersive reality, cyber, composite materials and semiconductor developments as enabling technologies to fuel future growth.

Table of Contents

Contents
1. Executive Summary 5
2. Introduction 6
3. Macro Trends 7
3.1 Defense Trends 7
3.1.1 United States 8
3.1.2 China 11
3.1.3 Russia 12
3.1.4 NATO’s nuclear policy 13
3.1.5 Multi-Domain Integration 13
3.2 Civil Aerospace Trends 14
3.2.1 Commercial Aircraft 14
3.2.2 Business Aviation 18
3.2.3 General Aviation 19
3.2.4 Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) 21
3.2.5 Airport 22
3.2.6 Space 22
4. Areas of Interest for the A&D Industry 24
4.1 Digital Transformation and Software 24
4.1.1 Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning 24
4.1.2 Data Storage 25
4.1.3 Encryption 25
4.1.4 Blockchain 26
4.1.5 Cloud Storage 26
4.2 Network integration 27
4.2.1 6G networks 27
4.2.2 Future Generation Wireless Technology (FutureG) 28
4.2.3 Deployable Networks 28
4.3 Cyber Security & Warfare 29
4.3.1 Cybersecurity 29
4.3.2 Cyberspace Operations 29
4.3.3 Big Data Analytics 30
4.3.4 Immersive Technologies 30
4.4 Hardware and Component Trends 33
4.4.1 Data Storage 33
4.4.2 Power Electronics 33
4.4.3 Optoelectronics 35
4.4.4 Battery Technology 35
4.5 Materials 37
4.5.1 Hi-Rate Composite Aircraft Manufacturing (HiCAM) 37
4.5.2 Additive Manufacturing (3D Printing) 38
4.5.3 New Composites/Alloys 38
4.5.4 Graphene 40
4.5.5 Self-Healing Composites 40
4.5.6 Thermoplastic Materials 40
4.6 Supersonic & Hypersonic Materials Development 40
4.6.1 Hypersonic Material Requirements 41
4.6.2 Advanced Carbon-Carbon (ACC) 41
4.6.3 Silicon Carbide (SiC) 41
4.6.4 Silicon Nitride 41
4.6.5 Nano scale developments 42
4.7 Systems 43
4.7.1 Tracking and Defense 43
4.7.2 Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) 44
4.7.3 Electric Propulsion 45
4.7.4 Zero-Emission Fuels 48
5. Funding Sources 50
5.1 United States 50
5.1.1 US DoD RDT&E 51
5.2 China 57
5.2.1 People’s Republic of China (PRC) National Strategy 57
5.2.2 Military-Civil Fusion (MCF) Development Strategy 57
5.2.3 Defense Policy and Military Strategy 58
5.2.4 Strategy 58
5.3 Russia 62
5.3.1 “Super Weapons” 62
5.3.2 Space Systems 63
5.3.3 Military Autonomous Systems and Robotics 65
5.3.4 Artificial Intelligence (AI) 65
5.4 Western Europe 66
5.4.1 Major European Aerospace and Defense Companies 67
5.4.2 Research & Development 68
5.4.3 Civil aeronautics R&D 69
5.5 Defense R&D 70
5.5.1 BAE Systems 70
6. Summary and Conclusions 72
7. How Can We Help You? 74

Exhibits
Exhibit 3 1 World Defense Expenditure 1988-2021 8
Exhibit 3 3 US FY23 Defense Expenditure Submission by Military Department 10
Exhibit 3 4 China Defense Spending 2010-2022 11
Exhibit 3 5 Multi-Domain Integration Concept 13
Exhibit 3 6 Airbus Lower-Emission Commercial Aircraft Demand Forecast 15
Exhibit 3 7 Boeing Commercial Aircraft Demand Forecast 16
Exhibit 3 8 The Process of Decarbonizing Aviation 17
Exhibit 3 9 Commercial Services Market: 2022-2041 18
Exhibit 3 10 FAA’s Continuous Lower Energy, Emissions and Noise (CLEEN) Program 19
Exhibit 3 11 The General Aviation Fleet Forecast 2022-2042 20
Exhibit 3 12 NASA Commercial Crew Program 22
Exhibit 3 13 The Four Phases of the UK National Space Strategy 23
Exhibit 4 1 US DoD Joint All-Domain Command and Control (JADC2) 27
Exhibit 4 2 BAE Systems NetVIPR™ 28
Exhibit 4 3 Spectrum of Reality 31
Exhibit 4 4 SAIC Pilot Training Next (PTN) 32
Exhibit 4 5 Honeywell’s Liquid Cooled PEMFC 36
Exhibit 4 6 Material Development Status for Composite Technologies 39
Exhibit 4 7 Material Specific Strength 42
Exhibit 4 8 Space Development Agency’s Missile Tracking Concept 44
Exhibit 4 9 The NASA Advanced Air Mobility Concept 45
Exhibit 4 10 NASA X-57 All-Electric Experimental Aircraft 46
Exhibit 4 11 A Megawatt-class GE Motor/Generator Test Stand 47
Exhibit 4 12 Airbus ZEROe Concept 48
Exhibit 5 1 US FY23 Defense Budget Comparison ($M) 50
Exhibit 5 2 US DoD FY 2023 Defense Budget – Army RDT&E Major Programs 52
Exhibit 5 3 US DoD FY 2023 Defense Budget – Navy RDT&E Major Programs 53
Exhibit 5 4 US DoD FY 2023 Defense Budget – Air Force RDT&E Major Programs 54
Exhibit 5 5 US DoD FY 2023 Defense Budget – Space Force RDT&E Major Programs 55
Exhibit 5 6 US DoD FY 2023 Defense Budget – Defense-Wide RDT&E Major Programs 56
Exhibit 5 7 China’s Key Technology and Sectoral Targets Comparison 61
Exhibit 5 8 Russian Space Programs (as of September 2021) 64
Exhibit 5 9 2020 Snapshot of the European Aerospace and Defense Industry 67
Exhibit 5 10 Europe’s Top 10 Defense Companies 2020 68
Exhibit 5 11 2020 Research & Development Segmentation for Europe 69

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